Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 13% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 13% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 20 Sep 2026. $26.55K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 13.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gods-eye | Yes | 5.2K |
| Spirit-LT | Yes | 922.23 |
| Stimulating-Nestling | Yes | 638.57 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abbas-araghchi-out-as-minister-of-foreign-affairs-of-iran-byptptpt-20260709234123315
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
| Nanamo613 | Yes | 321.25 |
| 8dcc906a9b | Yes | 318.9 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 286.49 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 166.98 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 134.19 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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