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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11? | No | 601 | $0.965 | $583.57 | +$3.88 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.967 | $3.98 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 341.06 |
| $0.982 |
| $335.94 |
| +$1.02 |
 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.39 | $0.986 | $4.37 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 6.15 |
| $0.850 |
| $5.23 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.998 | $6.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.800 | $4.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.770 | $2.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.780 | $2.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.960 | $5.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.966 | $3.9 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.950 | $4.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.952 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?Yes | buy | 381.77 | $0.997 | $380.62 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.998 | $3.39K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.840 | $4.92 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.986 | $4.33 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.939 | $3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.910 | $3.75 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.930 | $6.41 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.979 | $4.3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 6.16 | $0.880 | $5.42 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 in March?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.937 | $3.65 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in March?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.957 | $4.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.980 | $2.8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.962 | $5.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.910 | $4.49 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 24 be less than 2,400,000?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.930 | $4.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 BitBoy convicted?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.884 | $1.33 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Chainlink reach $16 in March?No | buy | 3.68 | $0.977 | $3.6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| BitBoy convicted?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.813 | $2.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.950 | $4.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.950 | $2.57 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.989 | $2.06 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 4.91 | $0.800 | $3.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.979 | $3.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 80% by March 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 6.42 | $0.980 | $6.29 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 4.27 | $0.977 | $4.17 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 5.97 | $0.690 | $4.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.790 | $5.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |