
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.7%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27.2% on 22 Mar 2026 and the low 7% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 27.2% on 22 Mar 2026.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 6:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 17 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 10.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 13.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spry-Roundabout | Yes | 7.3K |
| 233231 | Yes | 5.28K |
| IH2P | Yes | 5.17K |
| Warzone | Yes | 3.54K |
| fomod | Yes | 1.46K |
| SingW | Yes | 700 |
| udikqe1 | Yes | 616.36 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| Medical-Covariate | Yes | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Ethereum hit March 16-22?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-march-16-22
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