Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.182 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.040 |
| $2 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.680 | $54.6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | buy | 61.95 | $0.930 | $57.61 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | sell | 63.71 | $0.904 | $57.61 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Yes | buy | 63.71 | $0.701 | $44.65 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18.64 | $0.130 | $2.42 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 33.03 | $0.995 | $32.87 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.04 | $0.605 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 66.02 | $0.072 | $4.77 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 66.03 | $0.076 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 39.53 | $0.860 | $34 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?No | buy | 380 | $0.004 | $1.52 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.010 | $10.72 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?Yes | buy | 91.91 | $0.560 | $51.47 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?No | sell | 119.69 | $0.430 | $51.47 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?No | buy | 119.7 | $0.580 | $69.42 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 18?No | buy | 70.84 | $0.940 | $66.59 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on December 16?Yes | sell | 8.97 | $0.999 | $8.96 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?Yes | buy | 46.49 | $0.800 | $37.19 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 98.24 | $0.102 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 69.67 | $0.722 | $50.31 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 69.67 | $0.689 | $48.02 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | sell | 26.59 | $0.780 | $20.74 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | sell | 27.67 | $0.981 | $27.14 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 26.6 | $0.188 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No | buy | 27.67 | $0.723 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 144.39 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 7.3 | $0.940 | $6.86 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 28.57 | $0.376 | $10.74 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | sell | 4.76 | $0.936 | $4.46 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.780 | $3.72 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |