Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $46.43 | +$11.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 43.98 | $0.400 | $17.59 | 10h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.7K |
| $0.007 |
| $43.5 |
| -$17.99 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 43.98 | $0.400 | $25.95 | +$8.36 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 12.58 | $0.795 | $9.06 | -$0.94 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.660 | $0.95 | -$4.05 |
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1 |
| 11h ago |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.795 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 10.6 | $0.943 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.813 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.16 | $0.896 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?No | buy | 17.33 | $0.577 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 18.44 | $0.542 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 69.37 | $0.721 | $50 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.093 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | buy | 50.45 | $0.991 | $50 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No | buy | 20.9 | $0.957 | $20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 31.32 | $0.958 | $30 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?Yes | buy | 42.06 | $0.951 | $40 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 34.56 | $0.868 | $30 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.305 | $2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?Yes | buy | 7.98 | $0.340 | $2.71 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.706 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.930 | $9.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | sell | 256.71 | $0.003 | $0.77 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 71.71 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |