Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:37 PM UTC.
Analytics
defundshawn has made $27.7 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:37 PM UTC.
$12.49 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 11 markets; 36.0% were buys. They run from Jun 12, 2026 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.73 | $0.950 | $0.71 | +$0.01 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.075 | $4.65 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:37 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $51.12 and losing ones cost $23.68 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.72 on “Israel closes its airspace by May 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $7.2 on “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jun 2026. It has traded 94 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.74 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 0.98 |
| $0.068 |
| $0.03 |
| -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 62 |
| $0.079 |
| $4.9 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.26 | $0.973 | $9.98 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 48.74 | $0.973 | $47.42 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.973 | $57.41 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 141 | $0.025 | $3.53 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 141 | $0.027 | $3.81 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.080 | $2.96 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 127 | $0.080 | $10.16 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.080 | $13.12 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 11 | $0.840 | $9.24 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 55 | $0.840 | $46.2 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 19 | $0.840 | $15.96 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 31 | $0.840 | $26.04 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 54 | $0.840 | $45.36 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.530 | $45.58 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.530 | $18.02 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.590 | $70.8 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.058 | $1.04 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.064 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.064 | $5.44 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.068 | $7.07 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.940 | $8.46 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.940 | $76.14 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.941 | $77.16 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.941 | $7.53 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.150 | $6.75 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.150 | $0.64 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.7 | $0.150 | $15.72 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.152 | $23.4 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.858 | $33.46 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.858 | $1.72 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.858 | $40.33 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.842 | $74.1 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.183 | $16.84 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.154 | $0.92 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.154 | $6.31 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.154 | $6.93 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.790 | $11.85 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.790 | $50.56 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.810 | $76.14 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 17 | $0.970 | $16.49 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.970 | $38.8 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.970 | $14.55 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 72 | $0.967 | $69.62 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.064 | $5.89 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.065 | $5.98 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.650 | $44.2 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.