Analytics
defundshawn has made $27.7 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.73 | $0.950 | $0.71 | +$0.01 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 19:42 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $51.12 and losing ones cost $23.68 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.72 on “Israel closes its airspace by May 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $7.2 on “Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 94 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.74 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 0.98 |
| $0.068 |
| $0.03 |
| -$0.04 |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
