Latest trade
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:38 PM UTC.
Analytics
Next-Scenario has made $145.69 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:38 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Nov 19, 2025 UTC to Jan 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.380 | $0.18 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-01 00:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:38 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-01 00:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $148.01 and losing ones cost $15.61 across 21 settled positions. 81% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $30 on “Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?” (No); the largest loss, $8.86 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Jan 2026. It has traded 29 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 127.5 |
| $0.380 |
| $48.45 |
| Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 127.98 | $0.449 | $57.5 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21?No | buy | 76.59 | $0.640 | $49.02 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 46.01 | $0.952 | $43.8 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.956 | $63.1 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in December?Yes | buy | 117.83 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tucker Carlson say "Racist" or "Racism" at AmericaFest events on December 18?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.540 | $2.2 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will FedEx say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.298 | $3 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call?No | buy | 59.14 | $0.149 | $8.8 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nike say "Dividend" during earnings call?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.452 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call?No | buy | 19.96 | $0.145 | $2.9 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Adobe say "LLM Optimizer" during earnings call?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 36.96 | $0.230 | $8.5 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?No | sell | 25 | $0.116 | $2.89 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Base Token" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | sell | 30.04 | $0.710 | $21.33 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Bitcoin" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?No | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 40.13 | $0.634 | $25.44 | Dec 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 7.7 | $0.011 | $0.08 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.011 | $0.16 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.011 | $0.16 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 15.3 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 15.75 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.011 | $0.06 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | sell | 15.75 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | sell | 47.69 | $0.689 | $32.88 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Tokenized Equity" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 47.7 | $0.482 | $23 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.500 | $15.15 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Brian Armstrong say "Base Token" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 30.04 | $0.538 | $16.15 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 40 | $0.780 | $31.2 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 60 | $0.780 | $46.8 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 40.13 | $0.299 | $12 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 100 | $0.734 | $73.44 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $16.95 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in November?No | sell | 30 | $0.643 | $19.29 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.