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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.89 | $0.962 | $0.87 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.130 |
| $10.4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.029 | $1.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 54 | $0.860 | $46.44 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.680 | $35.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 72 | $0.680 | $48.96 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.200 | $19.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.190 | $18.62 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.947 | $8.52 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 70 | $0.680 | $47.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.820 | $50.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.820 | $50.84 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.885 | $50.45 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.080 | $2.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.080 | $6.88 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.026 | $2.91 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.116 | $3.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.114 | $3.53 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46 | $0.955 | $43.93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 22 | $0.955 | $21.01 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.048 | $3.02 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.045 | $3.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 21 | $0.985 | $20.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 48 | $0.955 | $45.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 53 | $0.953 | $50.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 53 | $0.957 | $50.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.150 | $3.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.600 | $44.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.031 | $1.58 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.790 | $45.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.170 | $1.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.170 | $14.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.860 | $49.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.837 | $48.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.015 | $1.11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.016 | $1.18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.570 | $3.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.540 | $46.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.290 | $17.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.290 | $17.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.74 | $0.986 | $14.53 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.980 | $42.14 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 78 | $0.550 | $42.9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.410 | $17.63 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.410 | $17.63 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.045 | $1.53 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.143 | $1.72 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.146 | $1.75 | May 28, 2026 |