Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.91 | +$0.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 3d ago |
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Cobalt Pulse 9FDF is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,675,081 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$5.58 observed lifetime PnL, 52 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 42.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x3d257083e04c22ac91af9020adae643cc8999fdf
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 4.65 |
| $0.430 |
| $1 |
| -$1 |
| buy |
| 2.6 |
| $0.770 |
| $2 |
| 11d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 11d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.776 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 24d ago |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 19?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 28d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 29d ago |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Airbnb say "Domestic" during earnings call?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 29, 2026 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.