Latest trade
Nov 21, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
ThunderLightning is down $92.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 21, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:55 PM UTC.
$141.47 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 15 markets; 46.8% were buys. They run from Nov 2, 2024 UTC to Nov 21, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers | buy | 821.59 | $0.660 | $542.25 | Nov 21, 2024 UTC |
| Texans vs. Cowboys |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-01-01 08:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 17:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 17:55 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-01-01 08:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $457.16 and losing ones cost $7.69 across 14 settled positions. 42.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $124.72 on “Texans vs. Cowboys” (Texans); the largest loss, $6.85 on “Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Nov 2024. It has traded 15 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 542.25 |
| $0.770 |
| $417.53 |
| Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
| Vikings vs. TitansVikings | buy | 417.53 | $0.720 | $300.62 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Texas beat Arkansas?Texas | buy | 300.63 | $0.860 | $258.54 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| Eagles vs. CowboysEagles | buy | 258.54 | $0.760 | $196.49 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
| Dolphins vs. BillsBills | buy | 196.49 | $0.720 | $141.47 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
 Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 13.27 | $0.976 | $12.95 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.979 | $13 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Solana all time high in Q4?No | sell | 13.58 | $0.790 | $10.73 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Solana all time high in Q4?No | buy | 13.58 | $0.810 | $11 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 15.4 | $0.970 | $14.94 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 13.26 | $0.977 | $12.96 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 13.27 | $0.980 | $13 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 15.32 | $0.970 | $14.86 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 15.32 | $0.979 | $15 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 14.35 | $0.971 | $13.93 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 14.36 | $0.975 | $14 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Mars" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | sell | 11.7 | $0.920 | $10.76 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 11.7 | $0.940 | $11 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 153.98 | $0.578 | $89 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 115.83 | $0.578 | $66.95 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 378.25 | $0.578 | $218.63 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 382.18 | $0.578 | $220.9 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 105.99 | $0.578 | $61.26 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 87.81 | $0.578 | $50.75 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 105.61 | $0.578 | $61.04 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 71.65 | $0.578 | $41.41 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.578 | $809.95 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.577 | $809.96 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.578 | $811.36 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.41K | $0.577 | $811.35 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.578 | $812.76 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 244.78 | $0.578 | $141.48 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 115.82 | $0.578 | $66.94 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 89.42 | $0.578 | $51.68 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 450.02 | $0.579 | $260.56 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 951.55 | $0.577 | $549.04 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 951.56 | $0.578 | $550 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 570.02 | $0.577 | $328.9 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 311 | $0.577 | $179.45 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 881.02 | $0.579 | $510.11 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 527.56 | $0.578 | $304.93 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 527.56 | $0.578 | $304.93 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 884.08 | $0.577 | $510.11 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 884.08 | $0.578 | $511 | Nov 2, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.