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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.300 | $0.1 | -$0.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Jun 3, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.977 |
| $14.66 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.780 | $38.22 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 56 | $0.690 | $38.64 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.290 | $0.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.450 | $0.9 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 28.04 | $0.300 | $8.41 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.510 | $7.65 | May 31, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.964 | $37.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.959 | $38.36 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.852 | $25.56 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.873 | $26.19 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 42 | $0.958 | $40.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.360 | $33.84 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.380 | $35.72 | May 28, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 151 | $0.042 | $6.34 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.037 | $5.59 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.060 | $5.82 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.090 | $7.74 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.470 | $41.36 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.041 | $6.11 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.042 | $7.06 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.852 | $41.75 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.033 | $0.26 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.009 | $0.03 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 10 | $0.967 | $9.67 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.942 | $1.89 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Joao Fonseca win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | buy | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.916 | $8.24 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.014 | $0.2 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.016 | $1.79 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | sell | 11 | $0.973 | $10.7 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | buy | 11 | $0.962 | $10.58 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.975 | $10.73 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 11 | $0.978 | $10.76 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 13 | $0.824 | $10.71 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 13 | $0.821 | $10.67 | May 7, 2025 |