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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.051 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.075 | $1.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 85 |
| $0.035 |
| $2.98 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.031 | $4.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.290 | $32.77 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.290 | $32.77 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.087 | $13.75 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.092 | $14.54 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.490 | $25.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.930 | $53.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 64 | $0.740 | $47.36 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.280 | $4.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.280 | $24.08 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.280 | $28.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.200 | $21.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.170 | $24.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 52 | $0.430 | $22.36 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 4 | $0.410 | $1.64 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.011 | $0.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 78 | $0.420 | $32.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.580 | $45.24 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.570 | $44.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.190 | $9.31 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.910 | $41.86 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.290 | $10.15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.053 | $1.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.806 | $41.11 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.806 | $41.11 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 47 | $0.809 | $38.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.806 | $37.88 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.230 | $6.21 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.071 | $2.34 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.986 | $36.48 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.033 | $0.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.039 | $1.33 | May 27, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.959 | $27.81 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.480 | $40.32 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.968 | $33.88 | May 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.962 | $34.63 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.967 | $32.88 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.958 | $32.57 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 56 | $0.580 | $32.48 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.480 | $32.16 | May 20, 2026 |