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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 20.72 | $0.500 | $10.36 | Jun 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.55K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.77K |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.009 | $0.05 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 13.73 | $0.975 | $13.39 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 13.74 | $0.961 | $13.2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 17?Up | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.390 | $4.29 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 2?Up | buy | 444.44 | $0.590 | $262.22 | Jan 2, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 6.92 | $0.750 | $5.19 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.992 | $5.19 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.979 | $4.53 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.950 | $5.24 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.998 | $5.2 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?Up | buy | 5.22 | $0.996 | $5.2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 5.2 | $0.996 | $5.18 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.996 | $5.18 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.997 | $10.37 | Jul 5, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.998 | $10.35 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.992 | $10.16 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.997 | $10.13 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.980 | $4.04 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.14K | $0.996 | $5.12K | Jan 4, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.14K | $0.997 | $5.12K | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.999 | $10.03 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Pelicans vs. SpursPelicans | buy | 243.51 | $0.370 | $90 | Dec 8, 2024 |
Raptors vs. ClippersClippers | buy | 128.51 | $0.700 | $89.96 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes | buy | 25.74 | $0.390 | $10.04 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.920 | $0.1 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Wyoming Presidential Election?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.995 | $0.1 | Oct 26, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Wyoming Presidential Election?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.994 | $0.05 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | sell | 1.88K | $0.998 | $1.88K | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.999 | $1.88K | Oct 10, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.721 | $1.88K | Oct 10, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.724 | $1.89K | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 10, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 10, 2024 |