Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 3% on 16 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Jan 2025. $3.2M traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 9:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 16 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 3.0% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 218.96K |
| zhang2 | Yes | 3K |
| EruptionStarweaver | Yes | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jose Oliva is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Florida as a replacement for Secretary of State nominee Marco Rubio by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Rubio as U.S. Senator for Florida - if another person is appointed this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If Marco Rubio does not resign by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-marco-rubio-as-florida-senator
| Yes |
| 1.01K |
| diana18 | Yes | 1.01K |
| mindyraymond | Yes | 1.01K |
| melissapage | Yes | 1.01K |
| jacquelinehill | Yes | 1.01K |
| palmerkatherine | Yes | 1.01K |
| harringtonmichael | Yes | 1K |
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