Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.76 |
| $0.420 |
| $2.24 |
| +$0.24 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.92 | $0.510 | $1.84 | -$0.16 |
| buy |
| 6.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $2 |
| 6d ago |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.430 | $1.31 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.741 | $2.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |