Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the low 34.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 39.5% on 14 Aug 2026. $17.01K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 11 Sep 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 34.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.1K |
| 3iron | No | 1.47K |
| thursdays | No | 550 |
| frostyassist | No | 436.89 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-yoy-august-2026-1786474662954
| NoPeeking | Yes | 353.17 |
| LarBotPrime | No | 290.33 |
| ghoan | No | 79.73 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| feecenter | No | 40 |
| SuperY | No | 37.74 |
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