Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.710 | $25.79 | +$4.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 4d ago |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.750 |
| $18.94 |
| +$3.94 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $18.9 | +$1.5 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.760 | $14.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.870 | $9.45 | +$0.75 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.910 | $9.25 | +$0.15 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 10 | $0.870 | $9.05 | +$0.35 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.690 | $6.35 | -$0.55 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.430 | $6.2 | -$2.4 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.640 | $5.85 | -$0.55 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $3.34 | -$3.86 |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.430 |
| $8.6 |
| 4d ago |
 Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.530 | $4.3 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.958 | $28.74 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on April 26?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.997 | $20.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyones Legend | sell | 39.52 | $0.290 | $11.46 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyones Legend | buy | 39.04 | $0.600 | $23.42 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1Team WE | buy | 118 | $0.870 | $102.66 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 353.76 | $0.928 | $328.29 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 10.89 | $0.990 | $10.78 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 97.12 | $0.860 | $83.52 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 11.19 | $0.936 | $10.47 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 80 | $0.933 | $74.64 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 60 | $0.945 | $56.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 29.18 | $0.927 | $27.05 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.830 | $20.75 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports | buy | 8.66 | $0.960 | $8.31 | Mar 2, 2026 |