Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.957 | $22.01 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 52 |
| $0.952 |
| $49.5 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.931 | $48.41 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.986 | $43.38 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.795 | $47.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.981 | $47.09 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 42 | $0.690 | $28.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.031 | $1.36 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.033 | $2.64 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.510 | $12.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.310 | $20.15 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.310 | $26.66 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.989 | $42.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.987 | $42.44 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.982 | $24.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.968 | $42.59 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.975 | $1.4 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.029 | $0.96 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.035 | $0.28 | May 26, 2025 |
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | May 23, 2025 |
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | May 23, 2025 |
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | May 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.971 | $8.74 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.029 | $2.18 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No | buy | 12 | $0.938 | $11.26 | May 7, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?No | buy | 12 | $0.931 | $11.17 | May 7, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.990 | $1.9 | May 7, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | May 7, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.962 | $14.43 | Apr 5, 2025 |
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 16 | $0.942 | $15.07 | Mar 22, 2025 |
San Francisco vs. Oregon StateOregon State | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Feb 27, 2025 |