Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Knowing-Arthur-Ash has made $28.77K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.200 | $1.8K | +$1.42K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
Observation time unavailable
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 05:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 05:52 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 54,400 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.42K across 376 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.3K |
| $0.732 |
| $1.03K |
| +$75.34 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1.09K | $0.251 | $233.57 | -$38.97 |
 Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 215.18 | $0.798 | $170 | -$1.78 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 133.9 | $0.999 | $133.7 | -$0.07 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 133.9 | $0.997 | $133.43 | -$0.07 |
 Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 146.73 | $0.242 | $111.66 | +$76.1 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 123.46 | $0.167 | $107.41 | +$86.83 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.97 | $0.578 | $68.93 | +$11.15 |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 452.8 | $0.122 | $54.79 | -$0.6 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 113.77 | $0.029 | $51.77 | +$48.51 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 43.94 | $0.995 | $43.7 | -$0.02 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 34 | $0.200 | $33.1 | +$26.3 |
| Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 313.73 | $0.132 | $31.69 | -$9.83 |
| Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 172.73 | $0.184 | $25.65 | -$6.07 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 449.59 | $0.200 | $24.73 | -$65.19 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | No | 49.63 | $0.242 | $17.62 | +$5.6 |
 Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 4.28K | $0.030 | $14.99 | -$114.8 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%? | No | 22.44 | $0.878 | $13.48 | -$6.22 |
 Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 4.28K | $0.030 | $12.85 | -$116.94 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26? | Yes | 25.29 | $0.500 | $12.01 | -$0.63 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 26? | No | 11.41 | $0.999 | $11.39 | -$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 26? | No | 11.41 | $0.997 | $11.36 | -$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 26? | No | 11.41 | $0.997 | $11.28 | -$0.1 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 36.03 | $0.288 | $10.09 | -$0.28 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
