Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Knowing-Arthur-Ash has made $30.19K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.07K | $0.999 | $1.06K | -$0.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
Observation time unavailable
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 10:38 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 10:38 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 54,459 markets. Its open positions are worth $5.23K across 365 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.07K |
| $0.997 |
| $1.06K |
| -$0.53 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 971.45 | $0.200 | $923.36 | +$729.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 481.84 | $0.960 | $460.15 | -$2.41 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 212.58 | $0.750 | $181.76 | +$22.41 |
 Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 215.18 | $0.798 | $173.22 | +$1.45 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 123.46 | $0.167 | $108.02 | +$87.45 |
 Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 452.8 | $0.122 | $84.67 | +$29.28 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26? | No | 100.53 | $0.767 | $72.38 | -$4.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26? | No | 72.33 | $0.995 | $71.82 | -$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 26? | No | 72.35 | $0.986 | $71.63 | +$0.3 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.97 | $0.578 | $69.08 | +$11.3 |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 146.73 | $0.242 | $62.8 | +$27.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26? | No | 67.3 | $0.730 | $54.51 | +$5.39 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 113.77 | $0.029 | $51.77 | +$48.51 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27? | No | 80.07 | $0.634 | $50.45 | -$0.3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 27? | No | 48.82 | $0.998 | $48.7 | -$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27? | No | 48.82 | $0.985 | $45.79 | -$2.3 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 43.94 | $0.995 | $43.7 | -$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26? | No | 45.05 | $0.975 | $43.54 | -$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26? | No | 72.34 | $0.539 | $38.34 | -$0.67 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 34 | $0.200 | $33.03 | +$26.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 27? | No | 31.5 | $0.890 | $28.51 | +$0.47 |
| Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | 172.73 | $0.184 | $25.91 | -$5.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27? | No | 48.83 | $0.497 | $24.66 | +$0.41 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
