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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.360 | $0.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.77 |
| $0.620 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.08 | $0.260 | $1.06 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.260 | $0.87 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.330 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.23 | $0.330 | $1.07 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.340 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.230 | $0.97 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.330 | $1.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.260 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.570 | $2.02 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.311 | $0.95 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.431 | $0.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.640 | $1.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.260 | $0.89 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.350 | $1.04 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.370 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.370 | $1.13 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.360 | $0.71 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.11 | $0.400 | $0.84 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.270 | $0.76 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.520 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.370 | $0.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.250 | $0.95 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.290 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.260 | $1.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.280 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.45 | $0.440 | $1.08 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.440 | $1.05 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |