Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
Fallon has made $66.73 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:12 AM UTC.
$25.41 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Sep 26, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | Yes | 523.2 | $0.956 | $508.29 | +$8.29 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $4.32 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 51.18 | $0.977 | $50 | 1d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 15:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 15:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $635.45 and losing ones cost $424.38 across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $220.39 on “Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs” (MIBR); the largest loss, $132.29 on “Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs” (NRG).
It first traded on 4 Jul 2026 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 397 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.04K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 101.52 |
| $0.985 |
| $100.41 |
| +$0.41 |
 Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? | No | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 79.76 | $0.840 | $76.17 | +$9.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 51.18 | $0.977 | $49.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more? | No | 50.64 | $0.987 | $49.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat? | No | 50.38 | $0.913 | $46.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.98 | $0.399 | $32.82 | +$16.47 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? | No | 31.02 | $0.967 | $30.84 | +$0.84 |
 Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? | No | 15.05 | $0.930 | $12.42 | -$1.58 |
 Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? | Yes | 10.06 | $0.844 | $9.4 | +$0.91 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40.71 | $0.560 | $7.94 | -$14.86 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? | Yes | 82.73 | $0.110 | $5.79 | -$3.31 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election? | Yes | 51.72 | $0.019 | $3.83 | +$2.83 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 8.33 | $0.600 | $3.08 | -$1.92 |
 Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? | Yes | 10.36 | $0.140 | $0.43 | -$1.02 |
| buy |
| 101.52 |
| $0.985 |
| $100 |
| 1d ago |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?No | buy | 50.64 | $0.987 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?No | buy | 31.02 | $0.967 | $30 | 1d ago |
 Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?No | buy | 52.14 | $0.959 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes | buy | 523.2 | $0.956 | $500 | 2d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.86 | $0.890 | $3.44 | 20d ago |
 Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ | buy | 25.77 | $0.970 | $25 | 20d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageMOUZ | sell | 22.98 | $0.920 | $21.14 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageMOUZ | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageAurora Gaming | sell | 13.15 | $0.920 | $12.1 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit | sell | 374.95 | $0.985 | $369.33 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageAurora Gaming | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit | buy | 38.17 | $0.786 | $30 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit | buy | 25.45 | $0.786 | $20 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageVitality | sell | 562.48 | $0.999 | $561.92 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageVitality | buy | 201.29 | $0.994 | $200 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit | buy | 103.66 | $0.965 | $100 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageVitality | buy | 361.2 | $0.969 | $350 | 21d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit | buy | 207.68 | $0.963 | $200 | 21d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming | buy | 3.47 | $0.720 | $2.5 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming | buy | 3.42 | $0.730 | $2.5 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ALGD Gaming | sell | 4.65 | $0.240 | $1.12 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ALGD Gaming | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ALGD Gaming | sell | 36.15 | $0.627 | $22.68 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ALGD Gaming | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B1win | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ALGD Gaming | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Yes | buy | 82.73 | $0.110 | $9.1 | 25d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?No | buy | 79.76 | $0.840 | $67 | 25d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?No | buy | 50.38 | $0.913 | $46 | 25d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.019 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 in September?No | buy | 152.17 | $0.986 | $150 | 25d ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 99.42 | $0.943 | $93.73 | 25d ago |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.22 | $0.080 | $8.18 | 25d ago |
 Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No | sell | 210.01 | $0.927 | $194.62 | 27d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLGD Gaming | sell | 48.78 | $0.180 | $8.78 | 27d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLGD Gaming | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No | buy | 210.02 | $0.952 | $200 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 51.02 | $0.980 | $50 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 51.55 | $0.970 | $50 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | sell | 31.88 | $0.810 | $25.82 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 19.23 | $0.780 | $15 | 28d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.