Analytics
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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 126.2 | $0.792 | $10.73 | -$89.27 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.911 | $1.47K | Apr 18, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 176.47 |
| $0.170 |
| $5.56 |
| -$24.44 |
| buy |
| 1.72K |
| $0.116 |
| $200 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.115 | $400 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 470.32 | $0.261 | $122.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 235.69 | $0.212 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 433.15 | $0.750 | $324.9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 345.17 | $0.290 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 318.99 | $0.008 | $2.55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.130 | $20.97 | Mar 3, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.25K | $0.032 | $103.32 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 163.14 | $0.680 | $110.94 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.26K | $0.001 | $1.26 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$2k | buy | 153.92 | $0.650 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.96 | $0.629 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | sell | 30.29 | $0.760 | $23.02 | Feb 1, 2026 |
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | sell | 235.87 | $0.967 | $228.19 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 36.65 | $0.990 | $36.28 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes | buy | 105.4 | $0.949 | $100 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | sell | 263.15 | $0.260 | $68.42 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 260.17 | $0.024 | $6.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 433.15 | $0.693 | $300 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes | buy | 133.54 | $0.749 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes | buy | 133.58 | $0.749 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 756.27 | $0.310 | $234.44 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.017 | $3.15 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 322.75 | $0.040 | $12.91 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.040 | $62.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.87K | $0.018 | $215.47 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.080 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Netflix say "Live" or "Event" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.037 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09K | $0.033 | $300 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.230 | $300 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.036 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Honor of Kings: eStar Pro vs JD Gaming (BO5)eStar Pro | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | sell | 135.12 | $0.086 | $11.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 326.28 | $0.730 | $238.18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 756.28 | $0.264 | $200 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | buy | 157.12 | $0.636 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes | buy | 175.96 | $0.568 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 319 | $0.313 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |