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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 7.14 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.05 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.270 | $0.39 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.310 | $0.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.430 | $0.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.527 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
X Money released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | sell | 28.24 | $0.957 | $27.03 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.975 | $1.45 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 28.25 | $0.354 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.372 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.848 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.519 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.793 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?Up | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?Up | buy | 166.43 | $0.060 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?Up | sell | 76.92 | $0.080 | $6.15 | Mar 5, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?Up | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US strikes Iraq by March 7?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.841 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |