Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 55% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 55% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 99.9% on 9 Mar 2026.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 55.0% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bigai | No | 20.06K |
| 2117 | No | 9.76K |
| SleepyJoke | No | 8.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/big-ai-out-as-1-free-app-in-the-us-apple-app-store-by
| No |
| 7.5K |
| Constant-Erosion | No | 7K |
| Nelstones | No | 6.33K |
| millipede22 | No | 3.52K |
| Fussy-Portion | No | 2.65K |
| TheArtistie007 | No | 2.3K |
| Raypiaso002 | No | 2K |
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