Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.12 |
| $0.894 |
| $1.08 |
| +$0.08 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.17 | $0.855 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.581 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 1.17 |
| $0.855 |
| $1 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson federally charged?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.996 | $1.11 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.521 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.894 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.979 | $6.52 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.581 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Tucker Carlson federally charged?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by March 20?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.923 | $3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.910 | $5.05 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.878 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | sell | 2.4 | $0.270 | $0.65 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 2.37 | $0.410 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.959 | $1.71 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | sell | 1.69 | $0.750 | $1.27 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.67 | $0.580 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | sell | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.955 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No | sell | 6 | $0.979 | $5.87 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |