Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 36% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 36% on 3 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 25% on 4 Feb 2026. $87.08K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 10.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| back-in-whack | Yes | 300 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 158 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 150 |
| Jade Atlas 0EAA | Yes | 101.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to be held in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 State of the Union address. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the State of the Union address is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-state-of-the-union-address
| Insaneviper | Yes | 100 |
| Cdus | Yes | 83.33 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| Blakkjr300 | Yes | 40 |
| dora.256 | Yes | 40 |
| shanda2017 | Yes | 35 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
