
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 18.3% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points down, to 10.8% on 27 Mar 2026. $159.05K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 14.5% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeDelta | Yes | 715.53 |
| kamarat | Yes | 500 |
| jauhar | Yes | 486.41 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 149.15 |
| LukeAlpha | Yes | 140.11 |
| ercz | Yes | 103.25 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 96.11 |
| TheMandalorianTrader | Yes | 95.72 |
| elmana | Yes | 68.22 |
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