Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6.55 | +$0.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky HijikataDaniel Altmaier | buy | 8.08 | $0.990 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.09 |
| $0.979 |
| $4 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.7 | $0.940 | $11 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.66 | $0.985 | $59.75 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 28?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.996 | $7.57 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C or below on April 28?No | buy | 23.04 | $0.998 | $23 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Swiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.960 | $8.44 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in January?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.67 | $0.989 | $60 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 118.77 | $0.422 | $50.12 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 67.89 | $0.427 | $28.99 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.431 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.3 | $0.994 | $59.94 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.3 | $0.995 | $60 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 32.64 | $0.940 | $30.68 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 62.92 | $0.890 | $56 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?No | buy | 53.32 | $0.980 | $52.25 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 24 ET?No | buy | 33.37 | $0.989 | $33 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.995 | $13 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.98K | $0.995 | $1.97K | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 18.76K | $0.998 | $18.72K | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 5.52K | $0.997 | $5.51K | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 5.52K | $0.998 | $5.51K | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.996 | $1.97K | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.76K | $0.999 | $18.74K | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 14.18 | $0.987 | $14 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.986 | $4.7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before July?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Alan Garber out as Harvard President before July?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.986 | $5.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Tiffany Fong pregnant before July?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?No | buy | 4.31 | $0.974 | $4.2 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.999 | $2.05K | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.971 | $6 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | May 13, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will US leave NATO by June 30?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | May 13, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.960 | $2.14 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.976 | $2.41 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Simion | buy | 3.89 | $0.943 | $3.67 | May 13, 2025 |
 India-Pakistan declare war before June?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.981 | $4.6 | May 13, 2025 |