Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 10 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 10 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 4% on 11 May 2025. $813.34K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 May 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Derek1234668 | Yes | 9.35K |
| Lalaf | Yes | 8.65K |
| dsytfg | Yes | 6.38K |
| Butterpickledhead | Yes | 5.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if India officially declares war against Pakistan, or Pakistan officially declares war against India between May 9 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that resemble or imply a declaration of war, but stop short of being formal declarations, will not count. For example, statements such as Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee referring to the Kargil conflict as “a war-like situation” in July 1999, or similar statements that do not constitute official declarations of war and will not qualify. Only India and Pakistan themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if a Pakistani militant group declared war against India it will not count for this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/india-pakistan-declare-war-before-june
| benrat | Yes | 3.16K |
| imnotinsane | Yes | 2.32K |
| suggondeez | Yes | 2K |
| Quiet Oracle 899E | Yes | 1.17K |
| CryptoDude | Yes | 1K |
| Z33PYZ | Yes | 874.96 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
