Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 889.82 | $0.011 | $9.89 | Jan 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.8K |
| $0.013 |
| $23.15 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.012 | $83.98 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.130 | $12.09 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.280 | $2.52 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.099 | $99 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 807.04 | $0.290 | $234.04 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.330 | $99 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.670 | $4.72 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 458 | $0.500 | $229 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.660 | $330 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 89.57 | $0.379 | $33.94 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 458 | $0.380 | $174.04 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 32.48 | $0.043 | $1.4 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 967.52 | $0.045 | $43.62 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.043 | $21.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.043 | $21.37 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 262.16 | $0.340 | $89.13 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 318.32 | $0.350 | $111.41 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | sell | 277.84 | $0.290 | $80.57 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.260 | $284.96 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.420 | $210 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 80.48 | $0.410 | $33 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.480 | $42.72 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | buy | 44.42 | $0.420 | $18.66 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.210 | $42.84 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.232 | $16.22 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.241 | $31.32 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | sell | 376 | $0.291 | $109.43 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.620 | $88.04 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.600 | $183 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.580 | $62.06 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?Yes | sell | 520 | $0.980 | $509.62 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Another Israel military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.770 | $4.96 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.031 | $0.93 | May 12, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.250 | $125 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 667 | $0.150 | $100.05 | May 10, 2025 |
 India-Pakistan declare war before June?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | May 10, 2025 |
| India-Pakistan declare war before June?Yes | buy | 611.61 | $0.024 | $14.68 | May 10, 2025 |
 Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 10, 2025 |
| Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 10, 2025 |