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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.59 | $0.955 | $0.58 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 42 | $0.860 | $36.12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 137 |
| $0.860 |
| $117.82 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.943 | $106.56 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.961 | $87.45 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 21 | $0.920 | $19.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21 | $0.920 | $19.32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 110 | $0.955 | $105.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 64 | $0.690 | $44.16 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 168 | $0.690 | $115.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 129 | $0.700 | $90.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 169 | $0.680 | $114.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.550 | $93.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.550 | $143 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.968 | $41.62 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.030 | $4.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.500 | $74.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 173 | $0.720 | $124.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 136 | $0.955 | $129.88 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 60 | $0.954 | $57.24 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 144 | $0.987 | $142.13 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.036 | $3.49 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.042 | $8.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 130 | $0.972 | $126.36 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.974 | $126.62 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.043 | $2.19 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 132 | $0.955 | $126.06 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.470 | $46.06 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 249 | $0.470 | $117.03 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 141 | $0.980 | $138.18 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 102 | $0.954 | $97.31 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 133 | $0.973 | $129.41 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 180 | $0.789 | $142.02 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.979 | $103.77 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 77 | $0.872 | $67.14 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 148 | $0.848 | $125.5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.953 | $89.58 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.116 | $10.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.025 | $2.25 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 228 | $0.610 | $139.08 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.983 | $147.45 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.984 | $147.6 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.02 | $0.480 | $8.65 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.560 | $172.48 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 179 | $0.962 | $172.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.37 | $0.660 | $21.36 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.031 | $9.92 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.036 | $7.42 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 165 | $0.960 | $158.4 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 177 | $0.986 | $174.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.300 | $7.2 | May 23, 2026 |