Latest trade
Aug 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:46 AM UTC.
Analytics
Reliable-Eicosanoid is down $170.59 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 2:46 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 27 markets; 85.7% were buys. They run from Oct 30, 2025 UTC to Aug 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $1.8 | -$8.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.69 | $0.730 | $9.26 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-14 20:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 02:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 02:46 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.4 and losing ones cost $169 across 24 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.41 on “Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $25 on “Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Aug 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.38 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 27.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $0.58 |
| -$9.42 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.730 |
| $14.6 |
| Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 32.69 | $0.550 | $17.98 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 38.52 | $0.470 | $18.1 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 38.52 | $0.286 | $11 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.160 | $6.67 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.801 | $13.81 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.71 | $0.136 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will PayPal say "Blue Owl" during earnings call?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Yes | buy | 40.01 | $0.500 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" or "Qatar" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 494.91 | $0.040 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.