Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 9 | $0.470 | $7.7 | +$3.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.23 |
| $0.790 |
| $7.31 |
| -$0.77 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 14.03 | $0.570 | $7.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.370 | $6.81 | +$2.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 19.51 | $0.410 | $6.73 | -$1.27 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 7.09 | $0.820 | $5.77 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 8.1 | $0.740 | $5.71 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.850 | $2.2 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3.51 | $0.470 | $1.95 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.79 | $0.470 | $1.35 | +$0.04 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.62 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.640 | $5.07 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 19.51 | $0.410 | $8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.470 | $1.31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.850 | $2.15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.470 | $1.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.820 | $5.81 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 13.21 | $0.610 | $8.06 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.790 | $8.08 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 8.38 | $0.220 | $1.84 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.85 | $0.770 | $7.58 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No | buy | 9.37 | $0.730 | $6.84 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.930 | $6.73 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.310 | $2.21 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.210 | $1.93 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.650 | $6.75 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.220 | $2.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.03 | $0.570 | $8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.380 | $4.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.740 | $5.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.670 | $8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.533 | $2.16 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 12.69 | $0.370 | $4.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fake news" during Memphis Roundtable?Yes | buy | 14.81 | $0.547 | $8.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.270 | $1.82 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.730 | $5.99 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.95 | $0.280 | $3.07 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.210 | $1.31 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.290 | $2.82 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.610 | $8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No | buy | 8.61 | $0.580 | $4.99 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 7.24 | $0.320 | $2.32 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.400 | $3.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.400 | $3.28 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?Yes | buy | 12.28 | $0.440 | $5.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.600 | $8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.710 | $6.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.370 | $4.63 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.3 | $0.360 | $4.43 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Jordan in March?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.380 | $4.22 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.740 | $5.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |