Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
ShishioMakoto is down $726.95 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:18 PM UTC.
$9.27 median trade
Its latest 42 trades covered 28 markets; 85.7% were buys. They run from May 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 9.99K | $0.018 | $109.91 | -$66.62 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.57 | $0.014 | $1.73 | 13d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-30 21:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
42 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:18 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-30 21:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $197.49 and losing ones cost $192.69 across 24 settled positions. 45.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $64.43 on “Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $81.83 on “Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 28 markets. Its open positions are worth $216.47 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 593.35 |
| $0.170 |
| $103.84 |
| +$2.97 |
 Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 123.57 | $0.014 | $2.72 | +$0.99 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes| buy |
| 9.99K |
| $0.018 |
| $176.53 |
| 19d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 593.35 | $0.170 | $100.87 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 750.5 | $0.975 | $731.74 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | sell | 831.53 | $0.880 | $731.75 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 831.54 | $0.820 | $681.86 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | sell | 41.55 | $0.999 | $41.51 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | sell | 644.22 | $0.994 | $640.35 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 644.22 | $0.987 | $635.85 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.642 | $23.32 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 23.71 | $0.994 | $23.57 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.700 | $3.65 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.484 | $1.79 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.932 | $1.71 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | sell | 277.96 | $0.006 | $1.67 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 277.96 | $0.039 | $10.82 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?Yes | buy | 225.16 | $0.022 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.78 | $0.974 | $14.4 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.974 | $8.55 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 627.7 | $0.061 | $38.29 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.074 | $41.11 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 35.07 | $0.428 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 35.15 | $0.427 | $15 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 13.13 | $0.074 | $0.97 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 95.73 | $0.052 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 147.35 | $0.068 | $10 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 489.05 | $0.061 | $30 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes | buy | 93.22 | $0.300 | $28 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sandra Gauci be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes | buy | 3.25K | $0.002 | $5 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 62.61 | $0.080 | $5 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Yes | buy | 450.24 | $0.011 | $5 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.