Analytics
Cobalt Falcon 6C92 is down $12.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 209.16K | $0.540 | $166.18K | +$53.29K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 18:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
41 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 09:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 09:08 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 18:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.83K and losing ones cost $58.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.38K on “Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (No); the largest loss, $25.58K on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (No).
It has traded 110 markets. Its open positions are worth $246.6K across 41 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 192.78K |
| $0.479 |
| $39.62K |
| -$52.72K |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 8.06K | $0.745 | $6.16K | +$163.66 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.58K | $0.853 | $5.08K | +$319.96 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4.95K | $0.836 | $3.98K | -$155.25 |
 Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | No | 5.18K | $0.670 | $3.86K | +$388.49 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 3.6K | $0.860 | $3.19K | +$90 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 3.24K | $0.630 | $2.15K | +$113.4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5.58K | $0.272 | $1.42K | -$94.49 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.77K | $0.790 | $1.37K | -$25.95 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 3.96K | $0.354 | $1.33K | -$77.39 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.6K | $0.121 | $1.31K | -$467.45 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1.08K | $0.996 | $1.08K | +$2.7 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.72K | $0.162 | $1.06K | +$297.05 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.424 | $1.05K | +$583.53 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.56K | $0.317 | $925.15 | -$5.59K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 18.74K | $0.247 | $843.3 | -$3.78K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 1.08K | $0.710 | $804.57 | +$37.8 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | No | 2.88K | $0.274 | $763.2 | -$25.2 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 3.08K | $0.189 | $724.82 | +$141.35 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | No | 4.85K | $0.127 | $557.71 | -$60.23 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 649.84 | $0.828 | $549.11 | +$10.85 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 2.7K | $0.153 | $526.5 | +$112.5 |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.289 | $459.77 | -$62.32 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 364.85 | $0.950 | $351.9 | +$5.29 |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
