Analytics
Yes is at 24.5%, down 8 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 13 May 2026.
Across the 164 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%; a month before, 29%.
Gukesh Dommaraju ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “2026 World Chess Championship: Winner”. Javokhir Sindarov leads at 75%.
$265.57 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $67.97K since listing. The order book holds $27.97K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 342 trades, $5.63K bought Yes and $17.2K bought No; the largest was a $4.96K buy of No at 73.0¢.
The largest Yes position is 1nvoker1 with 3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 8.2K. Ten wallets hold 71% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 164 points, 13 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 32.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.16K |
| ldnoey | No | 6.8K |
| Cobalt Falcon 6C92 | No | 3.38K |
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-world-chess-championship-winner
| 1nvoker1 |
| Yes |
| 3K |
| Squiggly-Stab | Yes | 2.58K |
| StudyPrediction | Yes | 2.35K |
| Periodic-Many | No | 2.34K |
| scrapbook | Yes | 2K |
| Anononono | Yes | 2K |
| carlmagnuses | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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