Analytics
lottonakamoto has made $1.3K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 1.8K | $0.932 | $1.58K | -$101.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-20 18:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 02:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 02:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-20 18:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $13.91K and losing ones cost $15.42K across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.11K on “Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.46K on “Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” (Yes).
It has traded 906 markets. Its open positions are worth $11.17K across 133 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.47K |
| $0.908 |
| $1.36K |
| +$24.29 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.56K | $0.797 | $1.24K | -$2.83 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 730.42 | $0.951 | $704.49 | +$9.64 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 646.36 | $0.900 | $602.73 | +$21 |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 605.21 | $0.954 | $583.42 | +$6.26 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 889.88 | $0.626 | $476.09 | -$80.71 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | No | 551.64 | $0.558 | $455.1 | +$147.26 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 495.67 | $0.735 | $329.62 | -$34.65 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 320.66 | $0.943 | $297.41 | -$5.04 |
| Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026? | No | 255.1 | $0.843 | $246.43 | +$31.38 |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 244.73 | $0.946 | $241.3 | +$9.76 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 395.81 | $0.636 | $207.8 | -$44.02 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 228.95 | $0.877 | $203.77 | +$2.98 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | No | 192.73 | $0.910 | $174.42 | -$0.96 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 178.62 | $0.962 | $172.64 | +$0.81 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 183.42 | $0.857 | $167.83 | +$10.7 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 173.15 | $0.867 | $140.25 | -$9.81 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 126.27 | $0.800 | $105.44 | +$4.42 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 181.49 | $0.821 | $104.36 | -$44.69 |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 799.26 | $0.091 | $99.51 | +$26.86 |
| Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026? | No | 106.47 | $0.881 | $99.5 | +$5.67 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 144 | $0.807 | $95.62 | -$20.62 |
 Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? | No | 90 | $0.940 | $84.51 | -$0.09 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.973 | $77.36 | -$0.48 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
