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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.200 | $0.69 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.57 |
| $0.270 |
| $0.96 |
| Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.025 | $0.36 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.500 | $1.1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.830 | $1.84 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.520 | $1.14 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Slovenia win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.880 | $1.95 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.540 | $4.5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.700 | $1.62 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 113.17 | $0.230 | $26.03 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.810 | $1.04 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.830 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Slovenia win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.044 | $1.38 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.046 | $1.7 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ETUp | sell | 3.57 | $0.990 | $3.53 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7AM ETDown | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5PM ETUp | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5PM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 27 at 5PM ET?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 27 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.999 | $2.12 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 27 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 27 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.361 | $2.78 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2AM ETDown | sell | 5.26 | $0.690 | $3.63 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |