Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.190 | $2.28 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.190 |
| $2.28 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.120 | $4.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.906 | $5.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.920 | $38.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 26 | $0.920 | $23.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 44 | $0.920 | $40.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.200 | $9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.200 | $9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.760 | $44.84 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 17 | $0.964 | $16.39 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.270 | $9.45 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.270 | $14.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.160 | $14.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.160 | $14.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.270 | $22.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44.22 | $0.980 | $43.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.983 | $44.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.270 | $46.17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.510 | $46.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.530 | $54.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.980 | $54.88 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.887 | $49.67 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.015 | $1.77 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.015 | $2.49 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.790 | $12.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.790 | $49.77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.040 | $1.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.047 | $2.91 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.460 | $11.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.480 | $0.96 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 74 | $0.570 | $42.18 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 15 | $0.976 | $14.64 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.983 | $1.62 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.973 | $6.81 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?No | sell | 8 | $0.959 | $7.67 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.963 | $6.74 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | sell | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?No | sell | 33 | $0.035 | $1.16 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | buy | 6 | $0.944 | $5.66 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?No | buy | 26 | $0.036 | $0.94 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2025 IIHF World Championship?No | buy | 10 | $0.527 | $5.27 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.963 | $6.74 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.965 | $6.76 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No | buy | 7 | $0.876 | $6.13 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?No | sell | 6 | $0.987 | $5.92 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win by over 18%?No | buy | 6 | $0.972 | $5.83 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | May 11, 2025 |