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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 635.55 | $0.075 | $47.48 | Apr 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 436.57 |
| $0.090 |
| $39.29 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
 LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2JD Gaming | buy | 33.49 | $0.890 | $29.8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming | buy | 104.95 | $0.950 | $99.7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.590 | $0.19 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.37 | $0.125 | $2.29 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.820 | $4.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 13.41 | $0.300 | $4.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.060 | $3.9 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 11.5 | $0.430 | $4.95 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 7.85 | $0.800 | $6.28 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?No | sell | 16.26 | $0.410 | $6.67 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.56 | $0.700 | $7.39 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?No | sell | 8.87 | $0.840 | $7.45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.840 | $7.53 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 48.01 | $0.140 | $6.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?No | sell | 12.21 | $0.710 | $8.67 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.85 | $0.311 | $5.24 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 29.19 | $0.130 | $3.79 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.04 | $0.310 | $10.55 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.4 | $0.310 | $8.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 9.77 | $0.500 | $4.89 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.510 | $4.98 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers | buy | 21.9 | $0.510 | $11.17 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.810 | $7.27 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 13.23 | $0.570 | $7.54 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 48.01 | $0.200 | $9.6 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 134.21 | $0.032 | $4.29 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.19 | $0.220 | $6.42 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.680 | $7.18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 13.23 | $0.500 | $6.62 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?No | buy | 12.21 | $0.710 | $8.67 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia CavaliersTennessee Volunteers | buy | 9.11 | $0.520 | $4.74 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 7.96 | $0.790 | $6.29 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.710 | $4.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.740 | $5.89 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.944 | $6.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?Yes | sell | 12.48 | $0.100 | $1.25 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.580 | $7.24 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.39 | $0.810 | $5.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)Vanderbilt Commodores | sell | 14.65 | $0.490 | $7.18 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | sell | 7.52 | $0.750 | $5.64 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.036 | $0.9 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | sell | 11.33 | $0.531 | $6.02 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)Vanderbilt Commodores | buy | 14.59 | $0.530 | $7.73 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | buy | 11.33 | $0.539 | $6.11 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.760 | $5.72 | Mar 21, 2026 |