Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 43.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 206 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 22 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 10% on 19 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 11.5% on 27 Sep 2025.
131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 206 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 22 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 15.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.65K |
| djokowin | Yes | 8.69K |
| w2b0bad8 | Yes | 2.01K |
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup. If the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Carabao Cup, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the 2025–26 Carabao Cup is canceled or not completed by June 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official results published by the Carabao Cup / EFL Cup (https://www.efl.com/competitions/carabao-cup/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/carabao-cup-winner
| Upbeat-Curler | Yes | 1.83K |
| Popular-Breath | Yes | 1.78K |
| valeron88 | Yes | 1.72K |
| ShadowyKey | Yes | 1.36K |
| Jeffery0325 | Yes | 1.16K |
| the.big.short | Yes | 963.9 |
| spet111154 | Yes | 850.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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