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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 637.65 | $0.988 | $636.7 | +$6.7 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 637.65 | $0.988 | $630 | Aug 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 624.37 |
| $0.993 |
| $620 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.052 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.075 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.097 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.998 | $1.24K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.990 | $1.23K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.984 | $1.22K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 809.71 | $0.996 | $806.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 411.08 | $0.994 | $408.61 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 411.08 | $0.988 | $406.15 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 809.72 | $0.988 | $800 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 282.82 | $0.999 | $282.54 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 923.6 | $0.996 | $919.91 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 919.91 | $0.999 | $918.99 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 201.42 | $0.988 | $199 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 400.6 | $0.996 | $399 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 282.83 | $0.990 | $280 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 303.95 | $0.987 | $300 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | buy | 299.16 | $0.987 | $295.27 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 200.64 | $0.972 | $195 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 427.59 | $0.061 | $26.24 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 338.76 | $0.983 | $333 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 226.07 | $0.982 | $222 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 352.47 | $0.993 | $350 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 557.79 | $0.995 | $555 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 563 | $0.926 | $521.11 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 427.6 | $0.117 | $50 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 295.23 | $0.976 | $288 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 563 | $0.985 | $554.56 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.969 | $971.79 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?Yes | buy | 971.79 | $0.980 | $952.35 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 213.56 | $0.988 | $211 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 230.8 | $0.962 | $222 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.999 | $1.15K | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 786.07 | $0.999 | $785.28 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?No | buy | 65.52 | $0.992 | $65 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 57.59 | $0.955 | $55 | May 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 244.21 | $0.950 | $232 | May 30, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 101.1 | $0.999 | $101 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 220.26 | $0.958 | $211 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?No | sell | 131.52 | $0.930 | $122.31 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.940 | $376 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.988 | $296.4 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 276.25 | $0.997 | $275.42 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 275.43 | $0.944 | $260 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 16.05K | $0.959 | $15.39K | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 16.05K | $0.960 | $15.41K | Dec 12, 2024 |