Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ernie-287 is down $6.16K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:12 PM UTC.
$14.9 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 10 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Oct 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.779 | $489 | +$21.66 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 4.39 | $0.720 | $3.16 | 13h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 07:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 07:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.98K and losing ones cost $10.11K across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.71K on “Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.08K on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 256 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.74K across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.746 |
| $488.75 |
| +$115.75 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.780 | $294.3 | +$60.3 |
 Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | 270 | $0.910 | $264.2 | +$18.5 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 775.33 | $0.520 | $39.15 | -$363.81 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.250 | $35 | -$15 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 30 | $0.754 | $23.9 | +$1.28 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.630 | $18.59 | -$0.3 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Yes | 20 | $0.790 | $16.8 | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.770 | $16.3 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $12.8 | +$0.4 |
 Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | Yes | 15 | $0.703 | $10.8 | +$0.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.660 | $7.2 | +$0.6 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 449.99 | $0.030 | $7.2 | -$6.4 |
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.090 | $5.37 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.290 | $3.55 | +$0.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.360 | $2.85 | -$0.75 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $1.68 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 8.16 |
| $0.750 |
| $6.12 |
| 13h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.750 | $4.38 | 14h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | 15h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 16h ago |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes | buy | 127.15 | $0.910 | $115.71 | 16h ago |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes | buy | 80.19 | $0.910 | $72.97 | 16h ago |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes | buy | 62.66 | $0.910 | $57.02 | 16h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 16h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.740 | $22.2 | 16h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.720 | $4.04 | 16h ago |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 16h ago |
 Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.670 | $40.2 | 16h ago |
 Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 17.07 | $0.950 | $16.22 | 16h ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.950 | $66.5 | 16h ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 476.05 | $0.970 | $461.77 | 16h ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.950 | $0.36 | 17h ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.950 | $40.42 | 17h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | 23h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 3d ago |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.630 | $18.89 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.49 | $0.030 | $0.58 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.030 | $0.49 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.96 | $0.030 | $0.39 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.030 | $1.74 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.15 | $0.030 | $0.51 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.4 | $0.030 | $1.42 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 223.59 | $0.030 | $6.71 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.032 | $1.6 | 5d ago |
 Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.080 | $6.4 | 7d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.780 | $15.64 | 8d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.780 | $0.83 | 8d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.780 | $17.16 | 8d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 83.88 | $0.780 | $65.43 | 8d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.780 | $17.94 | 8d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | 9d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | 9d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.700 | $0.13 | 14d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.700 | $0.03 | 14d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 14d ago |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.700 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
 Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?No | sell | 125 | $0.500 | $62.5 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | buy | 145.68 | $0.570 | $83.04 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | buy | 4.32 | $0.570 | $2.46 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.396 | $39.57 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 19d ago |
| Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes | sell | 66.47 | $0.660 | $43.87 | 19d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.