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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 55.56 | $0.630 | $53.06 | +$18.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 109.09 |
| $0.550 |
| $15.82 |
| -$44.18 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 57.97 | $0.069 | $0.72 | -$3.28 |
| buy |
| 93.75 |
| $0.160 |
| $15 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.630 | $35 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 72.73 | $0.550 | $40 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.66 | $0.061 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.89 | $0.275 | $3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 57.97 | $0.069 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 134.53 | $0.015 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 39.18 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.155 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.155 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 100.14 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 341.46 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 35.52 | $0.028 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.493 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 18.9 | $0.529 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 168.89 | $0.450 | $76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.083 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.48 | $0.160 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 131.29 | $0.569 | $74.75 | Feb 8, 2026 |