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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.063 | $0.04 | -$0.02 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.080 | $0.32 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.61 |
| $0.045 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 58 |
| $0.690 |
| $40.02 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.690 | $40.02 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.140 | $5.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.490 | $20.09 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.280 | $8.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.063 | $2.65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.057 | $4.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.080 | $5.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 3 | $0.900 | $2.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 44 | $0.900 | $39.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.900 | $42.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.834 | $31.69 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.062 | $0.93 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.760 | $41.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.760 | $50.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.240 | $11.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.900 | $45.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.900 | $45.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.041 | $6.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.042 | $6.72 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.280 | $17.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.280 | $26.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.971 | $17.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.067 | $2.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 31.98 | $0.066 | $2.11 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 130.61 | $0.045 | $5.88 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.209 | $29.68 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.015 | $1.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 26 | $0.680 | $17.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.169 | $16.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.184 | $18.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 38 | $0.984 | $37.39 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.270 | $10.26 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.230 | $8.74 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 107 | $0.044 | $4.71 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 183 | $0.045 | $8.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.310 | $25.73 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 64 | $0.813 | $52.03 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 64 | $0.793 | $50.75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.989 | $12.86 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.987 | $12.83 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 83 | $0.430 | $35.69 | May 30, 2026 |