Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.700 | $11.11 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.36 |
| $0.690 |
| $9.91 |
| Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic ticket be all female?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Monday?Yes | buy | 17.73 | $0.790 | $14.01 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Democratic ticket: Female President + Male VP?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.974 | $12.64 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 46.72 | $0.105 | $4.91 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran in August?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 DNC open convention?No | sell | 11.69 | $0.980 | $11.46 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Iran military response by Monday?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.840 | $4.78 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 46.73 | $0.107 | $5 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 18.09 | $0.750 | $13.57 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 27.47 | $0.060 | $1.65 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 2024 July hottest on record?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.342 | $10.26 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.174 | $10 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all female?No | buy | 22.15 | $0.903 | $20 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Democratic Blitz primary?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| DNC open convention?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.720 | $8.42 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Democratic ticket: Female President + Male VP?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.140 | $18.2 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 201.99 | $0.032 | $6.46 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 201.99 | $0.099 | $20 | Jul 18, 2024 |