Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:18 PM UTC.
Analytics
Half-Sugar is down $3.46 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:18 PM UTC.
$3 median trade
Its latest 29 trades covered 23 markets; 79.3% were buys. They run from Mar 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 10 | $0.200 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.295 | $1.4 | 10d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
29 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:18 UTC
polymarket positions
14 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.88 on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 22 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.91 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.75 |
| $0.295 |
| $0.59 |
| -$0.81 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.190 | $0.32 | -$1.59 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3.58 | $0.419 | $0.06 | -$1.44 |
| buy |
| 1.63 |
| $0.984 |
| $1.6 |
| 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.965 | $5.14 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.33 | $0.958 | $5.11 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.490 | $1.3 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.920 | $1.55 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.639 | $1.6 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.984 | $5.16 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.979 | $5.13 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.962 | $1.8 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.419 | $1.5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.659 | $1.59 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.970 | $5.21 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.985 | $5.17 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.960 | $5.16 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.981 | $5.16 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.470 | $1.4 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.993 | $5.14 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.989 | $5.13 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.940 | $1.23 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.346 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.995 | $5.63 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.990 | $5.61 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.985 | $3.86 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.