Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
Improbable-Toilet is down $14.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 4 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 2:35 PM UTC.
$15 median trade
Its latest 19 trades covered 14 markets; 94.7% were buys. They run from Sep 29, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Shanghai Sharks (-11.5) | Shanghai Sharks | 163.33 | $0.612 | $163.24 | +$63.24 |
| Wuerzburg vs. Chemnitz 99 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuerzburg vs. Chemnitz 99Wuerzburg | buy | 44.64 | $0.560 | $25 | 1h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 10:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 14:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
19 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 14:35 UTC
polymarket positions
6 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 10:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $8 and losing ones cost $5.65 across 4 settled positions.
The largest win was $8 on “Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner” (Inner Circle); the largest loss, $2.21 on “China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech” (Magdalena Frech).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 14 markets. Its open positions are worth $249.6 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Wuerzburg |
| 44.64 |
| $0.560 |
| $22.54 |
| -$2.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.360 | $19.72 | -$0.28 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 51.28 | $0.390 | $17.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 51.07 | $0.196 | $8.4 | -$1.6 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.510 | $7.5 | -$7.5 |
| buy |
| 163.33 |
| $0.612 |
| $100 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-17?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.600 | $12.6 | 9d ago |
| Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-17?Yes | buy | 29.98 | $0.400 | $11.99 | 9d ago |
 Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 9d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | 12d ago |
 Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort | buy | 83.18 | $0.108 | $9 | 13d ago |
| Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort | sell | 216.05 | $0.450 | $97.22 | 13d ago |
| Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 13d ago |
| Counter-Strike: 6666 vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnermegoshort | buy | 395.12 | $0.063 | $25 | 13d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.76 | $0.840 | $25 | 18d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 51.07 | $0.196 | $10 | 24d ago |
 LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | 25d ago |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 27.81 | $0.539 | $15 | 26d ago |
 China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechMagdalena Frech | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | 27d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | 27d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.